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Forecast from Yr Norsk

 

Here is the weather forecast for Konnerud. First a detailed graph showing the forecast hour-by-hour. Then follows a forecast for the next days together with an evaluation by a meteorologist. The meteorologist's evaluation does not exist in English, but I include the Norwegian evaluation. At the bottom comes a graphical probability forecast for the next 10 days.All forecasts are updated regulary.

Weather forecast is built on data from yr.no, delivered by Norwegian Meteorological Institute and NRK.

NB: The precipitation in the first chart is shown in mm, not inches!

 

Meteogram for Konnerud

 

 

Very strong winds

From Friday afternoon locally strong wind gust, up to 30-40 m/s. The strongest wind gust will appear near the coast and in the mountain areas. The wind gusts decrease late Saturday morning.


Friday

Østlandet og Telemark: Økning til sørøstlig frisk bris, på kysten sørlig stiv kuling. Regn. Fra sent i ettermiddag sørlig liten og i kveld periodevis full storm på kysten, liten kuling utsatte steder i innlandet og lokalt svært kraftige vindkast. Sent i kveld omslag til vestlig stiv kuling utsatte steder, opp i liten storm på kysten, gradvis minkende til sterk kuling. Lokalt kraftige vindkast. Regnbyger.


Saturday

Østlandet og Telemark: Vestlig bris, på kysten vest og sørvest stiv og til dels sterk kuling, lørdag kveld liten kuling. Stort sett opphold og perioder med sol.


Sunday

Østlandet og Telemark: Vestlig bris, først på dagen frisk bris utsatte steder, minkende. Oppholdsvær og til dels pent vær. Om kvelden nordaust frisk bris på kysten. Tilskyende i sør.


From/to
 
Forecast
 
Precipitation
Temp
Wind
 
2018.09.21 11:00-12:00 Light rain Light rain 0.01in 55.4°F Gentle breeze from south 11.2mph
  12:00-18:00 Heavy rain Heavy rain 0.42in 57.2°F Gentle breeze from south 12.1mph
  18:00-00:00 Rain showers Rain showers 0.07in 51.8°F Fresh breeze from south 17.9mph
2018.09.22 00:00-06:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 48.2°F Moderate breeze from west-southwest 13.6mph
  06:00-12:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 46.4°F Moderate breeze from west-southwest 15.0mph
  12:00-18:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 53.6°F Moderate breeze from west 15.7mph
  18:00-00:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 53.6°F Gentle breeze from west 10.3mph
2018.09.23 00:00-06:00 Fair Fair 0.00in 48.2°F Gentle breeze from west-northwest 10.7mph
  06:00-12:00 Clear sky Clear sky 0.00in 42.8°F Gentle breeze from west 7.6mph
  12:00-18:00 Clear sky Clear sky 0.00in 51.8°F Moderate breeze from northwest 12.5mph
  20:00-02:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 44.6°F Light breeze from northwest 7.4mph
2018.09.24 02:00-08:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 41.0°F Gentle breeze from north-northwest 8.3mph
  08:00-14:00 Fair Fair 0.00in 39.2°F Gentle breeze from northwest 8.3mph
  14:00-20:00 Fair Fair 0.00in 50.0°F Moderate breeze from northwest 12.5mph
  20:00-02:00 Clear sky Clear sky 0.00in 44.6°F Gentle breeze from west-northwest 9.2mph
2018.09.25 02:00-08:00 Clear sky Clear sky 0.00in 39.2°F Light breeze from northwest 6.9mph
  08:00-14:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 37.4°F Light breeze from west 4.7mph
  14:00-20:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 51.8°F Light breeze from north-northwest 6.7mph
  20:00-02:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 46.4°F Light breeze from west 5.8mph
2018.09.26 02:00-08:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 41.0°F Light breeze from northwest 4.0mph
  08:00-14:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 41.0°F Light breeze from northwest 4.5mph
  14:00-20:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 53.6°F Light breeze from southwest 7.2mph
  20:00-02:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 48.2°F Light breeze from south-southwest 5.8mph
2018.09.27 02:00-08:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 46.4°F Light breeze from southwest 4.9mph
  08:00-14:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 44.6°F Light breeze from west-southwest 4.5mph
  14:00-20:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 60.8°F Gentle breeze from southwest 7.8mph
  20:00-02:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 51.8°F Light breeze from south-southwest 6.7mph
2018.09.28 02:00-08:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 44.6°F Light breeze from west-northwest 6.0mph
  08:00-14:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 42.8°F Light breeze from northwest 6.9mph
  14:00-20:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 51.8°F Gentle breeze from north 8.1mph
  20:00-02:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 44.6°F Light breeze from west 5.4mph
2018.09.29 02:00-08:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 41.0°F Light breeze from southwest 4.0mph
  08:00-14:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 39.2°F Light breeze from northwest 3.8mph
  14:00-20:00 Cloudy Cloudy 0.00in 51.8°F Light breeze from southwest 6.9mph
  20:00-02:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 46.4°F Light breeze from west-southwest 6.0mph
2018.09.30 02:00-08:00 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy 0.00in 42.8°F Light breeze from south 4.7mph

Probability forecast

The long term forecast in the table above contains the most predictable weather information, and how certain we are that the forecast is correct.

The probability forecast in the diagram below indicates the probabilities for different possible developments of the temperature and precipitation. The long term forecast is given by black lines.

The grey fields (for temperature) and the blue fields (for precipitation) indicate the range of possible weather developments which are predominantly probable (80 percent). The width of the fields ir proportional to the degree of uncertainty of the forecast.

Within these fields, it is considered most probable (50 percent) that the development hits the dark part. Still it is somewhat probable (30 percent) that it hits the lighter part outside the dark.

Probability forecast for Konnerud

What is the probability for different weather?

The long term forecast (from the table at the top) is indicated with a black line.

  • Temperature:
  • 50 % probability
  • 30 % probability
  • Precipitation:
  • 50 % probability
  • 30 % probability